Global Economic Data & Sector Impact Map for the week of 11 Aug 2025

1. United States
Inflation (Jul) – Tuesday 12 August

Sectors Impacted: Equity markets broadly, FMCG, Retail, Banking & Financial Services.

Rationale: Higher inflation could delay rate cuts, pressuring consumer spending and corporate borrowing.

Crude Oil Stock Change – Wednesday

Sectors Impacted: Oil & Gas, Refining, Petrochemicals, Transportation.

Rationale: Inventory changes influence crude prices, affecting margins for refiners and transport companies.

PPI (Jul) – Thursday 14 August

Sectors Impacted: Manufacturing, Industrials, Commodity-linked businesses.

Rationale: Producer price inflation can signal input cost trends for manufacturers.

Retail Sales & Industrial Production – Friday, 15 August

Sectors Impacted: Retail, Auto, Consumer Discretionary, Industrials.

Rationale: Retail sales show consumer demand strength, industrial production shows manufacturing momentum.

Michigan Inflation Expectations – Friday, 15 August

Sectors Impacted: Financials, Housing, Bonds.

Rationale: Inflation sentiment impacts Fed policy outlook.

2. Euro Area

GDP Growth (Q2CY25) & Industrial Production (Jun) – Thursday 14 Aug

Sectors Impacted: Euro-exposed Exporters, Auto, Engineering, Capital Goods.

Rationale: Strong GDP boosts demand for Indian exports; industrial production indicates European manufacturing health.

3. Japan
PPI, Machine Tool Orders (Jul) – Tuesday 12 August

Sectors Impacted: Engineering, Auto Components, Capital Goods.

Rationale: Japan is a big buyer of high-value engineering exports from India; PPI can signal cost pressures.

GDP Growth (Q2CY25) & Industrial Production (Jun) – Friday 15 Aug

🚗 Sectors Impacted: Auto, Steel, Chemicals.

Rationale: Strong growth could boost raw material and intermediate goods demand from India.

4. China
Vehicle Sales (Jul) – Wednesday 13 August

Sectors Impacted: Auto OEMs, Tyres, Steel, Aluminium.

Rationale: China’s auto trends impact global demand for raw materials and components.

Retail Sales, Industrial Production, House Price Index, Unemployment Rate, FDI YTD (Jul) – Friday 15 August

🏗️ Sectors Impacted: Metals, Cement, Real Estate, Consumer Goods, IT Exports.

Rationale: Chinese economic activity influences commodity prices, supply chain dynamics, and investor sentiment globally.

Key Takeaway for India:
This week’s global data will be closely watched for inflation trends in the US and growth indicators from China. Sectors like metals, oil & gas, auto, IT exports, and banking could see short-term volatility. Strong data from China and stable US inflation could be positive for commodities and emerging markets.