• Preview: 6–11 Oct 2025

    What Will Drive Markets

    Q2 Earnings Kickoff

    o TCS is expected to report Oct 9 — this will set the tone for IT and export names.

    o Banks, NBFCs, and consumer staples will follow — guidance, margins, and credit trends will be scrutinized.

    IPO Debut / Subscription Trends

    o Tata Capital’s IPO is expected to dominate attention, along with LG Electronics and others.

    o Large IPO supply may test market absorption capacity.

    o Macro & Global Cues

    o U.S. data (jobs, Fed minutes, consumer sentiment) and decisions on rates will influence risk appetite.

    o Dollar/rupee flows, FII flows, and crude/oil movements will act as immediate triggers.

    o Exporters will benefit from a weak rupee, but input inflation and tariffs are a drag.

    Technical / Volatility Phases

    o Oct 6, 7, and 9 are flagged as high volatility days per traders’ time clusters. Watch for tests at support levels — Nifty ~24,750 / 24,600 and Bank Nifty’s weekly or 20-EMA holds.

    o Upside might aim for 25,100 – 25,300 on a sustained breakout.
    Sectoral Plays to Monitor

    o Financials / Banks (if credit data positive)

    o Metals / Basic Materials (global demand, China policy)

    o Defence / Strategic / Electronics (policy push & reforms)

    o Consumer / Autos (festive demand)

    o IT / Exports (sensitive to global environment)

    Risk Watch

    • Any surprise hawkish surprise from the Fed or a U.S. government shutdown continuation.

    • Rupee crossing key thresholds (~₹89–₹90) may spook markets.
    • Oversupply of IPOs could dilute liquidity.

    • Weak corporate guidance or margin pressures due to commodity costs.