• VRIGHT Exchange | Research & Strategy Desk posted an update in the group Research and Investment Spot

    1 month, 1 week ago

    Fund Houses’ Recommendations (22 Sept 2025)

    Autos & Mobility
    • Maruti (Nuvama): Buy, TP ₹18,200 (Positive)
    • TVS Motor (Nuvama): Buy, TP ₹4,100 (Positive)
    • M&M (Nuvama): Buy, TP ₹4,200 (Positive)
    • Hero MotoCorp (Nuvama): Buy, TP ₹6,200 (Positive)
    • Eicher & Bajaj Auto (Nuvama): Downgrade to Hold (Neutral)
    • Hyundai (Goldman Sachs): Neutral, TP ₹2,970 (Positive)
    • Indigo (Jefferies): Buy, TP ₹6,925 (Positive)

    Financial Services & Banks
    • Kotak Bank (Motilal Oswal): Buy, TP ₹2,400 (Positive)
    • Shriram Finance (JP Morgan): Overweight, TP ₹740 (Positive)
    • M&M Finance (JP Morgan): Overweight, TP ₹335 (Positive)
    • L&T Finance (JP Morgan): Upgrade to Neutral, TP ₹260 (Positive)
    • IDFC First (Morgan Stanley): Equal Weight, TP ₹68 (Positive)
    • Aditya Birla Capital (Morgan Stanley): Overweight, TP ₹330 (Positive)
    • AU Small Finance Bank (Morgan Stanley): Overweight, TP ₹860 (Positive)
    • Bajaj Finance (JP Morgan): Neutral, TP ₹1,070 (Neutral)
    • Chola Finance (JP Morgan): Neutral, TP ₹1,620 (Neutral)
    • SBI Cards (JP Morgan): Underweight, TP ₹830 (Neutral)
    • SBI Cards (Morgan Stanley): Underweight, TP ₹710 (Neutral)
    • PB Fintech (Morgan Stanley): Underweight, TP ₹1,370 (Neutral)
    • Bank of India (Morgan Stanley): Underweight, TP ₹110 (Neutral)

    Infra, Real Estate & Industrials
    • Adani Enterprises (Jefferies): Buy, TP ₹3,000 (Positive)
    • Knowledge Realty Trust (BofA): Initiate Buy, TP ₹110 (Positive)

    Pharma & Healthcare
    • Eternal (BofA): Buy, TP ₹400 (Positive)

    Consumer & Retail
    • Swiggy (BofA): Buy, TP ₹475 (Positive)
    • Voltas (BofA): Underperform, TP ₹1,205 (Neutral/Negative)
    • Voltas (Nomura): Neutral, TP ₹1,317 (Neutral)
    • Voltas (Nuvama): Reduce, TP ₹1,070 (Negative)
    • Asian Paints, FMCG, Consumer Durables: GST cut (Jefferies): Rate reduced from 28% → 18% (≈8% lower prices, Positive for demand).

    IT & Technology (Mixed Views on US H-1B Visa Fee Hike)
    • Citi: Cautious on margins; EPS impact ~6% (Neutral).
    • ICICI Sec: Offshoring will offset cost; limited EPS hit (Neutral).
    • Emkay: Impact unlikely to be disruptive (Neutral).
    • Nuvama: Limited effect via nearshoring & local hiring (Neutral).
    • Motilal Oswal: EPS impact contained (3–5% of workforce on H-1B) (Neutral).
    • Nomura: Worst-case EPS hit 10–100 bps; manageable (Neutral).
    • Investec: No meaningful margin impact near term (Neutral).
    • Jefferies: $100K/H1B fee offsets EBIT per employee; expect shift to local hiring/offshoring (Neutral).
    • BofA Sec: EPS risk 7–17% over 3 yrs, mitigated via offshoring; Tech Mahindra most exposed (Negative).
    • CLSA: Potential FY27 EPS hit up to 6% (Persistent & LTIM most exposed) (Negative).

    Telecom, Digital & Fintech
    • Vodafone Idea (Citi): Buy, TP ₹10 (Neutral)
    • PayTM (Morgan Stanley): Equal Weight, TP ₹1,175 (Neutral)

    Investor Takeaways
    • Autos & Mobility: Strong Buy consensus on 4W & 2W majors; Eicher & Bajaj Auto downgraded to Hold.
    • Financials: Positive stance on Kotak, AU, Shriram Fin; cautious on SBI Cards, PB Fintech, and PSU banks.
    • Consumer Durables: GST cut a major tailwind, but Voltas faces mixed-to-negative outlook.
    • IT Sector: Consensus: H-1B fee hike is a manageable cost headwind. Views range from “limited impact” (Emkay, Investec) to “medium-term earnings risk” (BofA, CLSA).
    • Infra/Realty: Adani Ent and Knowledge Realty rated positive, reflecting capex and infra cycle optimism.